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odds of winning consecutive coin flips

Tài liệu Decision Analysis and Risk Management: Two Sides of the Same Coin pdf

Tài liệu Decision Analysis and Risk Management: Two Sides of the Same Coin pdf

Quản trị mạng

... related to the four steps of the decision making process and finally tothe three types of error (risk) that occur in each of the four steps.The paper concludes with an example of how methodical decision ... Management:Two Sides of the Same Coin Copyright â2005 Global Knowledge Network, Inc. All rights reserved.Page 2 When we speak of identifying a problem we mean recognition and interpretation of the problem. ... analysis of choices.This is the stuff of habit, prejudice, and mental laziness.Analytical bias may be referred to as the unknown unknowns of the known unknowns. (Whew!) It is a conse-quence of...
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Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game

Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game

Quản trị kinh doanh

... toBlalock’s way of thinking, at least at the beginning of his career, was more of an individual than ateam sport, and more of an instinctive athleticevent than a learned skill. Handed an athlete of Billy’s ... draft was for the future of theOakland A’s. The Oakland A’s survived by findingcheap labor. The treatment of amateur players isthe most glaring of the many violations of freemarket principles ... earned the respect of even the crustiest of theold baseball writers. By the end of the 2002season, the big fear in Toronto was that he wouldbolt town for the job that had been offered to himto...
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