So You Want to be a Statistician? Alex Trindade Associate Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics & Statistics Texas Tech University What is Statistics? The Science of learning from data Sample Population Inference What is Statistics? • Descriptive Statistics (Easy Statistics) – Graphical and numerical summaries of data – Averages; variances; percentiles; etc • Ex: mean high temperature in Lubbock on May is 81 degrees – Histograms; pie-charts; bar-charts; scatter-plots; etc • Ex: histogram of mean high temperature in Lubbock on May for last 100 years What is Statistics? • Inferential Statistics (Hard Statistics) – Estimate/Predict unknown quantities from a sample of data • • Ex: predict this year’s high temperature in Lubbock on May 8, based on the previous 100 years Ex: estimate the location and expression patterns of the gene(s) that determine adult height on the human genome – Quantify the uncertainty in these estimates by giving a measure of their variability (margin of error) • • Ex: assess the variability of the prediction of this year’s high temperature in Lubbock on May 8, based on the previous 100 years Ex: assess the variability in the estimate of the location and expression patterns of gene(s) determinining adult height on the human genome Why Does Statistics Work? Largely because of the Central Limit Theorem • Sample averages, and many other variables, tend to follow a Normal (or bell-shaped) Distribution • This is a universal Law of Randomness • The speed of modern computers is only just now reaching the required levels to make sophisticated statistical analyses feasible What Statisticians do? They are present behind the scenes in every field of scientific endeavor What Statisticians do? • Agricultural & Animal Sciences – Design field experiments to determine which of varieties of corn is the most productive – Determine, from the analysis of a few samples of meat, what the contamination rate with E Coli is for the entire herd – Estimate animal abundance in a particular region using capture/recapture data What Statisticians do? • Meteorology/Climatology – Help climate scientists forecast the weather; build models for climate change; etc What Statisticians do? • Medical Sciences (Biostatisticians) – Design clinical trials for newly developed drugs to ascertain their efficacy and safety What Statisticians do? • Business, Finance, Economics – Work in insurance & banking industries to develop models that quantify the risk involved in various activities (driving, lending money, etc.) (Called actuaries.) – Formulate models that describe the behavior of the economy and associated financial instruments (stocks, mutual funds, etc.) (Called econometricians.) What Statisticians do? • Engineering (Quality Control Professionals) – Determine the reliability of various products/devices: • • • Ex: lower bound on failure load of aircraft parts Ex: average life cycle of medical devices Ex: upper & lower acceptability bounds on size of mechanical parts – Six Sigma Process What Statisticians do? • Genetics/Bioinformatics – Work in concert with geneticists and computer scientists to unravel one of the biggest mysteries of our time: • • • Where exactly are the genes located on our chromosomes, and what they do, exactly? There are approx billion base pairs and 21,000 genes in the human genome With each gene only a few base pairs in length, this is like finding a needle in a haystack! Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On • The Boeing Company (Seattle, Washington) – World leader in aircraft manufacture – Worked with a team of engineers to build statistical models to predict lower bounds for the failure loads of certain parts Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On • Encision, Inc (Boulder, Colorado) – Manufactures medical instruments for laparoscopic surgery – Quantified the reliability (life-cycle) of a particular device Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On • Risk Management and Financial Engineering Lab (University of Florida, Gainesville) – Within the department of Industrial Engineering – Developed statistical models for assessing financial risk Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On • Advanced Laboratory for Radiation Dosimetry Studies (University of Florida, Gainesville) – Within the department of Nuclear & Radiological Engineering – Developed statistical models for assessing patient-specific skeletal dosimetry in radiation therapy And now, a recent discovery! How to Become a Statistician? It’s a long road • Bachelors Degree (B.S.) in Mathematics – or other mathematics-intense discipline like engineering, economics, physics, chemistry, etc – 4+ years beyond high school • Masters Degree (M.S.) in Statistics/Biostatistics – or mathematics (for Ph.D.-level statistician) – 2+ years beyond B.S – Work involves mostly programming under the direction of a Ph.D.level statistician; not too exciting; but money is good! • Doctoral Degree (Ph.D.) in Statistics/Biostatistics – 3+ years beyond M.S – Work is varied; involves real discovery at the frontiers of science; typically fascinating! Who Employs Statisticians? A lot of industries • Pharmaceutical Companies – Typically based in large metro areas (NE seaboard) – Both M.S and Ph.D level – Median starting salaries as of 2007: • $70,000 (M.A.); $95,000 (Ph.D.) • Large Engineering & Business Companies – Typically based in large metro areas – Both M.S and Ph.D level – Median starting salaries as of 2007: • $60,000 (M.A.); $80,000 (Ph.D.) Who Employs Statisticians? • The Federal Government – Primarily based in the Washington D.C area – Both M.S and Ph.D level – Median starting salaries as of 2007: • $60,000 (M.A.); $90,000 (Ph.D.) • Colleges & Universities – Widely distributed – Ph.D level only – Median starting salaries as of 2007: • • • $85,000 (Biostatistics, 12 months) $72,000 (Statistics, months, University) $58,000 (Statistics, months, College) My Biography • • • • • • • Originally from Europe (Portugal) Grew up in South Africa Bachelors in Mathematics, 1988, University of Southampton (England) Masters in Mathematics, 1992, University of Oklahoma Programmer, 1993-1995, IBM (Dallas) PhD in Statistics, 2000, Colorado State University Assistant Prof., 2000-2007, Dept of Statistics, University of Florida So, You Want to be a Statistician? (www.amstat.org) ... (Called actuaries.) – Formulate models that describe the behavior of the economy and associated financial instruments (stocks, mutual funds, etc.) (Called econometricians.) What Statisticians... what the contamination rate with E Coli is for the entire herd – Estimate animal abundance in a particular region using capture/recapture data What Statisticians do? • Meteorology/Climatology –...What is Statistics? The Science of learning from data Sample Population Inference What is Statistics? • Descriptive Statistics (Easy Statistics) – Graphical and numerical summaries of data – Averages;