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The 2010 Vietnam comoetitiveness report
The 2010 Vietnam Competitiveness Report Professor Michael E Porter Harvard Business School Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Vietnam Competitiveness Report Launch Hanoi, Vietnam November 30, 2010 Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter The Vietnam Competitiveness Report Objectives • Provide policy makers and external observers with a data-rich assessment of Vietnam’s competitiveness, using a comprehensive internationally-accepted methodology • Develop an integrated set of policy recommendations, supported by a transparent logic and data • Engage decision makers from different constituencies in a dialogue on the future of Vietnam’s competitiveness Partners Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter The 2010 Vietnam Competitiveness Report • Vietnam’s Economic Position and Development Model • Assessing Vietnam’s Competitiveness • A Competitiveness Strategy for Vietnam Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam’s Position in 2010 • Significant growth over the last two decades • Widespread reduction in poverty • Resilience in the face of the global economic crisis Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam’s Long-Term Prosperity Growth 1975 - 2009 GDP per Capita, PPP adjusted $3,500 in 1990 US$ CAGR: +2.47% CAGR: +5.00% CAGR: +6.15% $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 1986: Doi Moi Reform $1,500 Global Financial Crisis $1,000 1997: Asian Crisis $500 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 $0 Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre and The Conference Board (2010) Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam’s Position in 2010 • Significant growth over the last two decades • Widespread reduction in poverty • Resilience in the face of the global economic crisis BUT • Still low level of prosperity and productivity • Growing concerns about the economic sustainability of Vietnam’s current development model Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Prosperity Performance Selected Countries, 1999 to 2009 PPP-adjusted GDP per Capita, 2009 ($USD) $50,000 United States $45,000 Hong Kong Australia $40,000 Singapore $35,000 Taiwan Japan $30,000 New Zealand South Korea $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 Malaysia $10,000 Thailand China $5,000 Philippines Bangladesh Indonesia Laos Vietnam India Cambodia $0 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Growth of Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2000 to 2009 Source: EIU (2010) Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM , authors calculations Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam’s Labor Productivity PPP-adjusted GDP per Employee, 1990-$USD $45,000 $40,000 South Korea $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 Thailand $10,000 China Indonesia Vietnam $5,000 $0 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre and The Conference Board (2010) Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam’s Current Development Model • Structural change, fuelled by Vietnam’s integration into the global economy, has been the key driver of Vietnam’s growth • Foreign investors have combined capital with Vietnamese labor and imported inputs to serve global markets, increasingly also domestic demand Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Structural Change and Vietnamese Growth Decomposing Vietnamese Labor Productivity Growth, 2000 - 2008 Source: General Statistics Office, Vietnam; ACI calculations Vietnam Competitiveness 20101130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM 10 Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter ... on the future of Vietnam? ??s competitiveness Partners Vietnam Competitiveness 20101 130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter The 2010 Vietnam Competitiveness Report • Vietnam? ??s... Centre and The Conference Board (2010) Vietnam Competitiveness 20101 130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam? ??s Position in 2010 • Significant growth over the last... Assessing Vietnam? ??s Competitiveness • A Competitiveness Strategy for Vietnam Vietnam Competitiveness 20101 130 – v8 Mon Nov 22 10AM Copyright 2010 @ Professor Michael E Porter Vietnam? ??s Position in 2010