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2 | FORBES FEBRUARY 10, 2014 contents — FeBRUARY 10, 2014 VoLUMe 193 nUMBeR 2 100 | not as advertised Google’s future is less self- driving cars than Mad Men. 11 | FAcT & cOmmEnT by steve Forbes China is dependent on our fi scal health. LEADERBOARD 14 | ARE YOU A STARTUp? Have a genius idea? Follow the path to your future. 16 | HOnG kOnG’S RicHEST Bets on Macau casinos pay o . 18 | HOT HOmES The most expensive residences in your state. Plus: A follow-up to our Isabel dos Santos investigation. 20 | FRED SmiTH FLiES HiGH The FedEx founder may be worth $2.3 billion, but he wasn’t an overnight success. 22 | HiGHEST-pAiD nBA ATHLETES The elite earn most of their dollars from endorsements. 24 | SpEED DEmOn The Ferrari 458 Speciale will change your idea of what a supercar should be. Plus: Up-and-Comers. 26 | AcTivE cOnvERSATiOn Snapchat’s Evan Spiegel tries to have the fi nal word. cover photograph by matt Furman For Forbes 66 | steinhardt’s second act From hedgie legend to ETF wise man. 4 | FORBES FEBRUARY 10, 2014 contents — FeBRUARY 10, 2014 THOUGHT LEADERS 28 | cURREnT EvEnTS by david malpass Five big steps toward faster global growth. 30 | cApiTAL FLOwS by rob arnott Thank heavens for those patent trolls. 32 | innOvATiOn RULES by rich karlgaard A story of transformation: the conviction key. STRATEGiES 34 | cAn A TEAm REinvEnT A ciTY? We’ve seen time and again that it can’t. That isn’t stopping the new owner of the Sacramento Kings. Plus: The latest NBA team valuations. by tom van riper TEcHnOLOGY 40 | cROwDSOURcinG cApiTALiSTS Duolingo provides English lessons to millions for free, as the nonprofit Khan Academy does with math. But its founders want to make real money so the service lasts. by parmy olson 44 | TRickinG THE HAckERS Backed with $26 million, a startup is using hackers’ own tricks against them. by andy greenberg 46 | nOw STREAminG AT GATE 22B Travelers are demanding free airport Wi-Fi. But who is going to foot the bill? by alex konrad EnTREpREnEURS 50 | GiRLFRiEnD pOwER Why is Silicon Valley backing a small beauty brand? Hint: Julep knows how to exploit social media. by carol tice invESTinG 54 | SwinGinG AT STRikES Most money managers live by the motto of go big or go home. Beck, Mack & Oliver takes a more civilized approach. by steve schaeFer 58 | pORTFOLiO STRATEGY by ken Fisher All or nothing in 2014. 60 | invESTOR cHEckUp by william baldwin Bet against the government. 34 | caliFornia king Vivek Ranadivé thinks his basketball team can save Sacramento. 54 | obvious proFits, less obvious prospects Value investor Zachary Wydra plays directly from the Ben Graham handbook. 50 | beauty secrets Makeup maven Jane Park knows how to profit from girl talk. 40 | proFiteering proFessors Duolingo teaches its students English for free, provided they also translate for free.