... longer applies once they are pooled. So if they conict, the results of meta-analysis, despite the fanciness of the word, should never be privileged over a large RCT. In the case of the example above, ... move from the 50% mark closer to the 100% mark. Depending on the strength of the scientic literature, the quality of the studies, the amount of replication, and our own interpretation of that ... thus: “e probability of any event is the ratio between the value at which an expectation depending on the happening of the event ought to be computed, and the value of the thing expected upon...