... (,, ,)) ( ) exp/εθ πσσε=−−=∑ 2 1 2 22 2 2 1ttLMIXtT(| (,, ,)) ( ) ( )exp//εθ πσ ασ=−×−− 21 1 2 22 2 12 22 21 2 1 2 21()() [ ( )]−−+−−−−=∑αεµ ... applications,including flood forecasting involving data assimilation (e.g., Krzysztofowicz 20 02; Young 20 01, 20 02 and references therein), groundwater modeling, including Bayesianaveraging of model ... conc. (mg l -1 )MRP conc. (µg l -1 ) 20 00 -2 00 -4 00 -6 00 -8 00 -1 000 -1 20 0 -1 400 -1 600MRP conc. quantile deviation (mg l -1 )FrequencyCumulativeweighting95th50th5th5th 25 th50th75th95thmaxobservedminTimestepTimestepTimestep...