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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 7 pptx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 7 pptx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 7 pptx

... (Figure 7. 2). RAMAS Metapop/GIS then combines the information in all these map layers into a map of habitat suitability expressed as a user-defined habitat suitability function.1 574 CH 07. fm Page ... model currently being developed (UFZ and OFFIS 2000) In this chapter, we also included individual-based population models that have a strong spatial component. Thus, in this chapter, the term ... Gilpin and Hanski (1991), Breininger et al. (in press), and Akçakaya and Sjögren-Gulve (2000).We review two occupancy-type models and four software platforms for spatially structured modeling...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 16 ()end) pptx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 16 ()end) pptx

... Press, London.Ginzburg, L.R. and H.R. Akçakaya. (in press). Science and management investments needed to enhance the use of ecological modeling in decision-making. In Ecological Modeling for Environmental ... density dependence in fish population modeling (see for example Oines et al. 19 97; Root and Akçakaya 19 97; Root et al. 19 97) .CASE STUDYIntroductionUsing population modeling in regulatory analyses ... 1994. An individual-oriented model of a wading bird nesting colony. Ecol. Model. 72 :75 –114.Woodward, I.O. 1982. Modelling the lineage of a growing population as an age-dependent branching process....
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 1 pps

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 1 pps

... Number 1-5 6 67 0-5 7 4-6 Library of Congress Card Number 2001038 278 Printed in the United States of America 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0Printed on acid-free paperLibrary of Congress Cataloging -in- Publication ... references.ISBN 1-5 6 67 0-5 7 4-6 (alk. paper)1. Pollution—Environmental aspects—Simulation methods. 2. Ecological risk assessment. I. Pastorok, Robert A. QH545.A1 E 277 2001 577 . 27 01′1—dc21 2001038 278 1 574 FM ... applied in this way.So far, we have discussed the use of ecological modeling in evaluating the ecological signifi-cance of risks to individual organisms. In addition to its use in risk characterization,...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 5 docx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 5 docx

... it.Relevance — HIGH — Possible endpoints include expected population size (age- or stage-specific), risk of decline, risk of extinction, and expected crossing time (the time at which the population ... is included.Relevance — HIGH — Possible endpoints include expected population size (age- or stage-specific), lambda, lambda-based measures such as sensitivity and elasticity, and risk of extinction. ... sensitivity-based methods, such as decomposition of the change in lambda, into the language of risk. Such sensitivity-based applications are used to identify age-specific or stage-specific manage - ment...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 8 doc

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 8 doc

... generally interacts with other species in feeding relationships, either feeding on other species, being fed upon by other species, or both. Second, a receptor of concern in an ecological risk assessment ... food-web modeling incorporating the effects of toxic chemicalsSpencer and Ferson (1997a,c); Spencer et al. (1999)http://www.ramas.com/Populus Software for population and food-web modeling ... unclear.Relevance — HIGH — Potential endpoints include the expected population size of any population in the model, risk of decline, risk of extinction, and expected crossing time (the time at which the...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 9 pps

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 9 pps

... model are relevant to ecological risk assessment. The examination of direct and indirect effects of stressors (e.g., entrain - ment) is of high interest in ecological risk assessment. Although ... LEEM was initiated by the International Joint Commission to aid in anticipating the effects of declining nutrient loading, invasion of zebra mussels, loading of toxic organic contaminants on ... proficiency in DYNAMO and FORTRAN programming languages and requires resources for placing the model in an uncer - tainty analysis framework.ECOWINEcoWin is an object-oriented approach to the modeling...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 10 docx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 10 docx

... capabilities include forecasting vegetative structure, assessing wildlife habitat, analyzing fire hazard, determining forest health risk, and monitoring ecological processes. Using a parallel processing ... developing silvicultural prescriptions, evaluating management scenar - ios, updating inventory information, and providing input to forest planning models (USDA 1999 and references therein). Additional ... Crassulacean acid-dependent succulents)Semi-arid rangeland in Texas and Colorado; user-definedHanson et al. (1988)IslandMulti-timescale community dynamicsUser-defined avian species User-defined...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 11 potx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 11 potx

... modeling (Nestler 2001, pers. comm.).The modeling strategy inherent in CEL HYBRID has subtle problems in maintaining conser-vation when any sources or sinks are present and a problem with inflation ... the biology. An individual-based population model is a specific example of the broader CEL HYBRID approach to modeling. What individual-based modeling does for population modeling, CEL HYBRID ... of organisms in different environments.Treatment of Uncertainty — LOW — In principle, one could introduce uncertainty and risk analysis into CEL HYBRID by enclosing the model within a Monte Carlo...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 13 pdf

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 13 pdf

... development and use are shown in Tables 13.2 through 13 .7. Toxicity extrapolation models are intended mainly for use in screening-level risk assessments and for developing generic environmental ... discrete or continuous-time) and deterministic life-history matrix models are most appropriate for screening-level ecolog - ical risk assessments (Table 13.1). Some simple food-web models, founded ... 2Endpoints: Expected future abundance, risk of decline in abundance, risk of extinction, time to extinction, time to decline, toxicant concentration in the environment, toxicant concentration in...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 14 pot

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 14 pot

... INVESTMENT TRADE-OFFSInvestments in enhancing the use of ecological models in environmental decision-making involve three trade-offs represented by the diamond-shaped boxes in Figure 14.1 (Ginzburg ... limiting factor. The third trade-off is between integrating existing models and creating new models (Fig-ure 14.1). Integrating existing models results in models with enhanced capabilities in ... the use of ecological modeling in decision-making. In V. Dale, Ed., Ecological Modeling for Environmental Management, Springer-Verlag, New York. Redrawn with permission.)1 574 CH14.fm Page 209...
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