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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 5 docx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 5 docx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 5 docx

... belongs. Age- and stage-structured models have been important tools in natural * RAMAS is a registered trademark of Applied Biomathematics. 157 4CH 05. fm Page 55 Tuesday, November 26, 2002 4 :55 PM© ... it.Relevance — HIGH — Possible endpoints include expected population size (age- or stage-specific), risk of decline, risk of extinction, and expected crossing time (the time at which the population ... 26, 2002 4 :55 PM© 2002 by CRC Press LLCTable 5. 1 Internet Web Site Resources for Life-History ModelsModel Name Description Reference Internet Web SiteDeterministic age- or stage-based matrix...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 10 docx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 10 docx

... capabilities include forecasting vegetative structure, assessing wildlife habitat, analyzing fire hazard, determining forest health risk, and monitoring ecological processes. Using a parallel processing ... developing silvicultural prescriptions, evaluating management scenar - ios, updating inventory information, and providing input to forest planning models (USDA 1999 and references therein). Additional ... Crassulacean acid-dependent succulents)Semi-arid rangeland in Texas and Colorado; user-definedHanson et al. (1988)IslandMulti-timescale community dynamicsUser-defined avian species User-defined...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 1 pps

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 1 pps

... Number 1 -5 667 0 -5 7 4-6 Library of Congress Card Number 2001038278Printed in the United States of America 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0Printed on acid-free paperLibrary of Congress Cataloging -in- Publication ... applied in this way.So far, we have discussed the use of ecological modeling in evaluating the ecological signifi-cance of risks to individual organisms. In addition to its use in risk characterization, ... an ecological model.Define Ecological Modeling ObjectivesThe objectives of ecological modeling in the context of a chemical risk assessment are determined partly by the objectives of the assessment. ...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 7 pptx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 7 pptx

... combines the information in all these map layers into a map of habitat suitability expressed as a user-defined habitat suitability function. 157 4CH07.fm Page 87 Tuesday, November 26, 2002 5: 05 ... extinction), a generic metapopulation model (Possingham and Davies 19 95) • Meta-X, an occupancy status model currently being developed (UFZ and OFFIS 2000) In this chapter, we also included individual-based ... results include risk of extinction, risk of decline, time to extinction, time to decline, expected abundance, and expected variation in abundance. The model has several parameters (e.g., carrying...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 8 doc

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 8 doc

... generally interacts with other species in feeding relationships, either feeding on other species, being fed upon by other species, or both. Second, a receptor of concern in an ecological risk assessment ... Volterra 1926; Watt 1 959 ; Holling 1 959 , 1966; Ivlev 1961; Hassell and Varley 1969; Gallopin 1971; DeAngelis et al. 19 75; Arditi and Ginzburg 1989)• Population-dynamic food-chain models (Spencer ... unclear.Relevance — HIGH — Potential endpoints include the expected population size of any population in the model, risk of decline, risk of extinction, and expected crossing time (the time at which the...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 9 pps

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 9 pps

... model are relevant to ecological risk assessment. The examination of direct and indirect effects of stressors (e.g., entrain - ment) is of high interest in ecological risk assessment. Although ... LEEM was initiated by the International Joint Commission to aid in anticipating the effects of declining nutrient loading, invasion of zebra mussels, loading of toxic organic contaminants on ... consisting of population submodels run in parallel and linked by informational constraints (Sturtevant and Heath 19 95) . The model divides Lake Erie into three distinct basins. Within each basin,...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 11 potx

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 11 potx

... modeling (Nestler 2001, pers. comm.).The modeling strategy inherent in CEL HYBRID has subtle problems in maintaining conser-vation when any sources or sinks are present and a problem with inflation ... the biology. An individual-based population model is a specific example of the broader CEL HYBRID approach to modeling. What individual-based modeling does for population modeling, CEL HYBRID ... of organisms in different environments.Treatment of Uncertainty — LOW — In principle, one could introduce uncertainty and risk analysis into CEL HYBRID by enclosing the model within a Monte Carlo...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 13 pdf

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 13 pdf

... discrete or continuous-time) and deterministic life-history matrix models are most appropriate for screening-level ecolog - ical risk assessments (Table 13.1). Some simple food-web models, founded ... 2Endpoints: Expected future abundance, risk of decline in abundance, risk of extinction, time to extinction, time to decline, toxicant concentration in the environment, toxicant concentration in ... which software package is being used); possibilities include expected future abundance, risk of decline in abundance, risk of extinction, time to extinction, time to decline, harvested biomass,...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 14 pot

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 14 pot

... met by integrating existing models but, in rare cases, the management question may require a completely new modeling approach. INVESTMENT TRADE-OFFSInvestments in enhancing the use of ecological ... limiting factor. The third trade-off is between integrating existing models and creating new models (Fig-ure 14.1). Integrating existing models results in models with enhanced capabilities in ... the use of ecological modeling in decision-making. In V. Dale, Ed., Ecological Modeling for Environmental Management, Springer-Verlag, New York. Redrawn with permission.) 157 4CH14.fm Page 209...
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Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 15 pdf

Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment - Chapter 15 pdf

... assessing the significance of estimated risks initially expressed in terms of individual-level end - points. In this mode, ecological models aid in translating risks for individual-level endpoints ... cost-effective approach for addressing many risk assessment issues (Ferson et al. 1996; Barnthouse 1998). Indeed, incorporation of simple, scalar population modeling into screening-level ecological ... species constituting an interacting population). Although they ignore biological com - plexity, they are tractable and widely accepted, and their use in screening-level ecological risk assessments...
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