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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global 8 docx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_1 potx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_1 potx

... relationships into consideration. Intermarket technical analysis refers to the application of technical analysis to these intermarket linkages. The idea behind intermarket analysis seems so obvious that ... only the market or markets we're trading. Intermarket analysis represents an evolutionary step in technical analysis. Intermarket work builds on existing technical theory and adds another ... until the intermarket work becomes clearer.Another way to look at it is that intermarket analysis warns traders when theycan afford to be more aggressive and when they should be more cautious. They...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_3 pptx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_3 pptx

... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... bottomand the 1 987 top. (Gold also led the downturn in the CRB Index in 1 980 .) The 1 985 bottom in gold was more than a year ahead of the 1 986 bottom in the CRB Index. The December 1 987 peak in the ... higher. The rise in the dollar at the beginningof 1 988 followed the rise in the CRB Index and interest rates that began in the springof 1 987 . Are commodity trends the cause or the effect, then,...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_4 ppt

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_4 ppt

... back to the beginning of the decade, the dollar bottomed in 1 980 , two years before the 1 982 bottom in stocks. In 1 988 and 1 989 the dollar and stocks rose pretty much in tan-dem. The peak in the ... stocks outperform gold by a wide margin (1 980 to 1 985 and 1 988 through the first half of 1 989 ). During periods of rising inflation (the 1970s and the period from1 986 through the end of 1 987 ), gold ... in the summer of 1 986 , whereas the Foodstuffs didn't bottom out until the first quarter of 1 987 . The Foodstuffs, on the other hand, peaked in mid-1 988 anddropped sharply for a year. The...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_5 docx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_5 docx

... pushed the U.S. wholesale inflation rate for 1 989 up to 4 .8 percent, the highest inflation number since 1 981 . The major culprit behind the surge in the GLOBAL INTEREST RATES 139FIGURE 8. 17 THE ... bearish implications for global equities. GLOBAL INTEREST RATESFigure 8. 18 compares the bond prices for the United States, Japan, and Britain for the last three months of 1 989 and the first two weeks ... place.Figure 8. 4 shows the Japanese market leading the world markets upward fromtheir late 1 987 bottoms. Figure 8. 5 shows that the global markets again correcteddownward in October 1 989 . After a global...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_6 pdf

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_6 pdf

... with the middle trough (the head) in the CRB Index. The third trough (the "right shoulder") in the CRB Index in the spring of 1 987 coincideswith the middle peak (the head) in the S&Ls. ... 9.17 THE S&L INDEX SHOWS A STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION WITH THE CRB INDEX FROM1 985 TO 1990. THE 1 987 TOP IN THE S&Ls MIRRORED A SIMILAR BOTTOM IN THE CRB INDEX. THE MID-1 988 ... gold and oil. The study of gold and oil leads us to the next stop on the intermarket journey, andthat is the study of industry groups. Two global themes that were seen as the 1 980 sended were...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_7 pptx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_7 pptx

... AND THEN RALLIED TOGETHER INTO THE SECOND HALF OF 1 989 . AS 1 989 ENDED, BOTH WEAKENED.Bonds versus Utilities the utilities.) Both rallied together to the fourth quarter of 1 989 . At the 1 989 top,bonds ... 100. 28* Wheat 96 .81 Heating oil 98. 29 Silver 95.92Hogs 98. 12 Soy. oil 93.91Soybeans 97.24 Soybeans 91.16Wheat 96.12 Oats 90.07Oats 93.54 Soy. meal 89 .04Meal 93.04 Cotton 88 .81 Copper 90 .88 * ... in the CRB Index. The final top in the Dow Utilities and the final peak in the bonds in early1 987 coincided with a trough in the CRB Index. The breakdown in the two financialmarkets in the...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_8 docx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_8 docx

... PERIOD)1960-1 988 1965-1 988 1970-1 988 1975-1 988 1 980 -1 988 1 985 -1 988 Govt.Bonds442.52423.21423. 58 314.16 288 .87 132.79Corp.Bonds 580 .21 481 .04452.703 38. 23300. 58 132.32U.S.Stocks14 28. 41766. 78 650.69555.69 289 .27145.62CRBIndex1175.26974.70 787 .97336.47153. 68 1 28. 13 ... CHART) FROM EARLY 1 988 TO EARLY1990. THE FALLING RATIO FROM MID-1 988 TO MID-1 989 WAS BULLISH FOR BONDS. IN THE SEVEN MONTHS SINCE AUGUST OF 1 989 , THE CRB INDEX OUTPERFORMED BOND FUTURESBY ... first wasin the period from the summer of 1 987 to the summer of 1 988 . Not surprisingly,this period encompassed the stock market crash in the second half of 1 987 and the FIGURE 12.4 THE CRB INDEX...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_9 docx

Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_9 docx

... 252 THE MYTH OF PROGRAM TRADING FIGURE 14 .8 THE FOUR SECTORS OF THE AMERICAN MARKETS DURING 1 987 . THE INTERMARKET PICTUREGOING INTO THE SECOND HALF OF 1 987 WAS BEARISH FOR EQUITIES-A ... arbitragedidn't exist in these other markets. How then do we explain their collapse? If indexarbitrage caused the collapse in New York, what caused the collapse in the othermarkets around the globe?A ... SHOWS THE CRB INDEX DURING THE SAME PERIOD. THE CRB INDEX RALLY INEARLY 1 987 COINCIDED WITH THE PEAK IN BONDS, WHICH PRECEDED THE STOCK MARKETPEAK. THE COMMODITY PEAK IN MID-1 988 ...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 doc

Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 doc

... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... bottomand the 1 987 top. (Gold also led the downturn in the CRB Index in 1 980 .) The 1 985 bottom in gold was more than a year ahead of the 1 986 bottom in the CRB Index. The December 1 987 peak in the ... arrows). The 1 985 bottom in the goldmarket coincided exactly with the peak in the dollar the same year. The major topFIGURE 5 .8 THE DOLLAR VERSUS GOLD DURING 1 988 AND 1 989 . PEAKS AND TROUGHS IN THE...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pdf

Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pdf

... back to the beginning of the decade, the dollar bottomed in 1 980 , two years before the 1 982 bottom in stocks. In 1 988 and 1 989 the dollar and stocks rose pretty much in tan-dem. The peak in the ... BILL FUTURES 83 FIGURE 6 .8 BOND PRICES VERSUS THE DOLLAR FROM 1 987 TO 1 989 . BOTH MARKETS RALLIED TOGETHERFROM EARLY 1 988 TO 1 989 . THE BULLISH BREAKOUT IN THE DOLLAR IN MAY OF 1 989 CO-INCIDED ... stocks outperform gold by a wide margin (1 980 to 1 985 and 1 988 through the first half of 1 989 ). During periods of rising inflation (the 1970s and the period from1 986 through the end of 1 987 ), gold...
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