—farm real estate debt amount outstanding by states dec 31 1994 99

Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_1 doc

... their 1991 level only in 2007 32 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Figure 2.1 Index of ofﬁce rents in Singapore 200 Nominal Real 150 100 50 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 2.4 ... (iii) Rent real1 (iv) CPI 2004 = 100 (v) Rent real (vi) Rent 2007 prices1 (vii) (viii) Rents index2 nominal real 1991 1992 1993 1994 877 720 628 699 100.0 101.7 104.3 107.3 877.0 708.0 602.1 651.4 ... Mean house prices by district, British pounds 26 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Table 2.2 Property sales by district 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Camden City of London...

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620
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_2 potx

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... included in the sum 50 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Table 3.1 Summary statistics for Frankfurt and Munich returns Original data Ordered data Frankfurt Munich 1992 1993 1994 4.9 5.8 3.4 2.6 ... 1992 1993 1994 4.9 5.8 3.4 2.6 −0.1 2.0 −3.7 −2.5 −0.7 −2.0 −0.1 2.0 1995 1996 −0.7 −2.5 −2.0 7.3 0.8 2.6 2.1 2.6 1997 1998 1999 2000 5.3 6.2 10.4 11.1 7.1 10.1 9.5 11.7 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 4.7 5.4 ... theory Before describing the most important summary statistics used in Real estate analysis: statistical tools 45 work with real estate data, we deﬁne the terms population and sample, which have precise...

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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_4 pdf

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... explained by reference to changes in one single explanatory variable x What if the real estate theory or the idea that is sought to be tested suggests that the dependent variable is inﬂuenced by more ... each with a separate real estate theory for explaining the variation in some variable, yt The respective models selected by the researchers could be yt = α1 + α2 x2t + ut (5 .31) yt = β1 + β2 x3t ... coefﬁcient by chance alone 124 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Trying many variables in a regression without basing the selection of the candidate variables on a real estate or economic theory...

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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_6 pptx

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... adopted in order to bring forward-looking 210 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting information into the model An example is the study by RICS ( 1994 ) , in which the yield model has next year’s ... and tenant improvement estimates are provided by a property consultancy The same source computes effective real rents by discounting cash ﬂows with a real interest rate Hendershott makes the following ... intercept in equation (7.7) divided by the estimated coefﬁcient on υ t+j −1 ∗ ● The equilibrium real gross rent rate g is given by the following expression: g ∗ = real risk − free rate + risk premium...

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565
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_7 pdf

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... models in real estate In the real estate literature, ARMA models are used mainly for short-term forecasting and to provide a benchmark by which to judge structural models 258 Real Estate Modelling ... Times real estate indices and derive a series that starts in January 1969 and ends in February 1999 For Australia, they take the Listed Property Trust Index from January 1973 to February 1999 The ... downward trend in the 1980s and up to the mid- 1990 s, but the latest decreasing trend was steeper (apart from a few quarters in 1999 to 2000) Certainly, by the end of 2007, cap rates had reached their...

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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_8 ppt

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... forecasts with the realised values for only two years: 1996 and 1997 The regression model over-predicted by 3.6 percentage points in 1996 and by three percentage points in 1997 The naive methods, ... combination in real estate, the reader is also referred to the paper by Wilson and Okunev (2001), who combine negatively correlated forecasts for securitised real estate returns in the United States, ... forecast The benchmark AR(1) speciﬁcations for real rent and real returns are initially estimated up to 1998 and forecasts are produced for 1999 and 2000 These real forecasts are converted into nominal...

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523
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting By Chris Brooks_9 pot

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... 450 Simulated 400 350 300 1996 1998 1998 1994 1996 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 18,000 16,000 Simulated 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 Actual 6,000 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 4,000 1978 ... 320 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Figure 10.1 Actual values and historical simulation of new industrial building supply 7,000 Actual 6,000 5,000 4,000 Simulated 3,000 1998 1996 1994 1992 ... 1983 to 1998 cycle but it does not replicate the peak in 1989 and the drop during 1991 to 1993 In addition, the simulated series over-predicts the actual series during the period 1991 to 1997 With...

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448
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_2 pot

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... included in the sum 50 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Table 3.1 Summary statistics for Frankfurt and Munich returns Original data Ordered data Frankfurt Munich 1992 1993 1994 4.9 5.8 3.4 2.6 ... 1992 1993 1994 4.9 5.8 3.4 2.6 −0.1 2.0 −3.7 −2.5 −0.7 −2.0 −0.1 2.0 1995 1996 −0.7 −2.5 −2.0 7.3 0.8 2.6 2.1 2.6 1997 1998 1999 2000 5.3 6.2 10.4 11.1 7.1 10.1 9.5 11.7 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 4.7 5.4 ... theory Before describing the most important summary statistics used in Real estate analysis: statistical tools 45 work with real estate data, we deﬁne the terms population and sample, which have precise...

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538
0

Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_3 doc

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... 25 20 15 10 −5 −10 −15 −20 −25 (a) Real office rents 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 −1 −2 ... Actual and fitted values for RR 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 −25 1979 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 −15 −20 1981 Figure 4.8 Actual ... 76 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting ● There are bound to be random outside inﬂuences on y that, again, cannot be modelled For example, natural disasters could affect real estate performance...

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586
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_4 ppt

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... explained by reference to changes in one single explanatory variable x What if the real estate theory or the idea that is sought to be tested suggests that the dependent variable is inﬂuenced by more ... each with a separate real estate theory for explaining the variation in some variable, yt The respective models selected by the researchers could be yt = α1 + α2 x2t + ut (5 .31) yt = β1 + β2 x3t ... coefﬁcient by chance alone 124 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Trying many variables in a regression without basing the selection of the candidate variables on a real estate or economic theory...

32
740
0

Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_6 potx

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1985 1987 1981 2007 2004 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 −5 1983 −3 1980 1983 (%) 2001 (a) Real rents (2005 prices) 1985 1987 1989 1983 1981 2007 2004 2001 1998 1995 ... stationarity Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting 40 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 30 (%) 20 10 −10 2003 2005 2007 2003 2005 2007 2003 2005 2007 1999 2001 2001 1997 1995 1993 1991 (b) Real rent ... 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 1983 −20 1980 Figure 7.2 Variables for the Frankfurt example (euros) 198 (d) Changes in vacancy 200 (%) (index) 150 100 50 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1985 1987...

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503
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_7 doc

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... adopted in order to bring forward-looking 210 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting information into the model An example is the study by RICS ( 1994 ) , in which the yield model has next year’s ... and tenant improvement estimates are provided by a property consultancy The same source computes effective real rents by discounting cash ﬂows with a real interest rate Hendershott makes the following ... intercept in equation (7.7) divided by the estimated coefﬁcient on υ t+j −1 ∗ ● The equilibrium real gross rent rate g is given by the following expression: g ∗ = real risk − free rate + risk premium...

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500
0

Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_9 doc

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... forecasts with the realised values for only two years: 1996 and 1997 The regression model over-predicted by 3.6 percentage points in 1996 and by three percentage points in 1997 The naive methods, ... combination in real estate, the reader is also referred to the paper by Wilson and Okunev (2001), who combine negatively correlated forecasts for securitised real estate returns in the United States, ... forecast The benchmark AR(1) speciﬁcations for real rent and real returns are initially estimated up to 1998 and forecasts are produced for 1999 and 2000 These real forecasts are converted into nominal...

32
535
0

Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_11 ppt

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... approach employed by McCue and Kling ( 1994 ) , and based on Doan ( 1994 ) The forecast error variance is also decomposed to determine the proportion of the movements in the real estate series that ... These residuals are expected to 358 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting reﬂect only the variation in real estate returns This series, denoted PROPRES, is the real estate market return measure used ... between real estate returns and the macroeconomy 11.10.1 Background, data and variables Brooks and Tsolacos ( 1999 ) employ a VAR methodology to investigate the interaction between the UK real estate...

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513
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Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting by Chris Brooks and Sotiris Tsolacos_12 pptx

Danh mục: Đầu tư Bất động sản

... relationships and cointegration in real estate The concept of cointegration and the implications of cointegrating relationships are very relevant in the real estate market Real estate economic and investment ... How long is the long run in practice in real estate, though? The study of the long-run relationships in real estate should, ideally, include a few real estate cycles and different market contexts ... particularly in commercial real estate, even in those countries with long histories Data availability therefore limits the usefulness of cointegration in real estate More and more real estate studies now...

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377
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Real Estate Investing Made Easy By Brian Haskins potx

Danh mục: Quản trị kinh doanh

... deals, in multiple states selling over 100 million dollars of real estate I have taught hundreds of students in all 50 states and even in other countries I still run a real estate wholesaling ... rehabbing or any other real estate strategy, can be done in any kind of real estate market, good or bad It can be done in every city across the nation big or small Nothing really affects it It’s ... cost anything Realquest.com - Realquest is a paid tool but they are much more accurate than Zillow The MLS The MLS is by far the best tool and the most accurate It’s the tools used by realtors and...

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242
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The Unofficial Guide to Real Estate Investing by Spencer Strauss and Martin Stone_1 doc

Danh mục: Tài chính doanh nghiệp

... 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 16.94 14.86 16.70 19.02 13.29 12.52 18.92 13.83 13.79 13.95 ... Investing in real estate is no different, for it will be just a means to an end It’s like trading our time for dollars at our jobs We don’t get up every morning at 6:30 to be at work by because ... vigilant, we will realize the highest probability of success in reaching our goals Thankfully, this probability of success is especially true when it comes to investing in real estate Finally,...

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566
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The Unofficial Guide to Real Estate Investing by Spencer Strauss and Martin Stone_2 pdf

Danh mục: Tài chính doanh nghiệp

... CDs or stocks or mutual funds But remember, real estate benefits from leverage, and leverage is what puts real estate investing into a stratosphere by itself Because of ( & (

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1,016
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The Unofficial Guide to Real Estate Investing by Spencer Strauss and Martin Stone_3 pot

Danh mục: Tài chính doanh nghiệp

... Income Approximate Net Worth Under $25,000 $25,000 – $49 ,999 $50,000 – $74 ,999 $75,000 – $99, 999 $100,000 – $124 ,999 $125,000 – $149 ,999 $150,000 and up $117,550 $134,600 $153,375 $180,073 $145,203 ... and research to work by investing and buying your first property This is where the real work starts, because it’s not just a mind game now, it’s for real When you’ve finally decided it’s time to ... the entire company Well, in real estate you don’t have to start out with a 20-unit building to be successful You can start small, too, in the “mail room” of real estate investments How about...

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405
1

The Unofficial Guide to Real Estate Investing by Spencer Strauss and Martin Stone_4 docx

Danh mục: Tài chính doanh nghiệp

... invest in real estate in addition to their regular career Those who consider real estate investing and management as their primary career Most investors fall into the category in which real estate ... planning does not deal with future decisions, but with the future of present decisions.” ² 3(7(5 '58&.(5 $87+25 $ s you’ve noticed by now, our approach to real estate investing is pretty conservative ... regular career If this describes you, then your real estate losses will be limited to $25,000 For example, your adjusted gross income before real estate deductions is $50,000 and your losses from...

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