Ngày tải lên :
22/03/2014, 23:20
... upon
whichtheyincreasinglyrely
126
.
MembersofClass2alsoprofit,especiallyasinterestratesrise,sincetheyarenetsavers
(creditors)withpredominantlyshorttermassets.Class3memberssufferfromhigherinterest
ratesas the recoverycontinues,butto the extenttheyhaveborrowedtobuyrealassets
(especiallyhouses)theyalsoseemtogainas the pricesofthoseassetsrise.Rajan(2010)
contendsthatgovernmentsactivelyencouragedthisprocess
127
toallowlowerincomepeople
tocontinuetoconsume,evenastheirincomesandjobprospectswerebeingfurthersqueezed
bytechnologicaldevelopmentsandglobalization.
In the bustphaseof the cycle,assetpricescollapseandClass1speculatorscanlosepart
(thoughrarelyall)of the wealthaccumulatedearlier.
Sharplyeasiermonetaryconditionsease
theirburdenmaterially.Again,thereislobbyingtoensurethat the otherformsofsupport
promisedearlierbygovernmentsactuallymaterializes.MembersofClass2bear the main
burdenofthistransferfromcreditorstodebtors,eitherdirectly(astheirfinancialassetsearn
verylittle)orindirectlyduetolowerpensionsandhigherinsurancecost.Asdebtors,members
ofClass3alsobenefitfromultraeasymonetarypolicy
128
.Overall,however,theysuffer the
mostbecausetheirnetwealthisverylow,theiraccesstofurthercreditdisappears,andthey
are the mostliabletolosetheirjobsin the downturn.Ironically,ifRajan’sthesisiscorrect, the
policiesoriginallydesignedtohelp the poorhavehurtthem the most.
Thisstoryishighlystylizedandperhapsnottrueincertainrespects.Nevertheless,itseemstrue
enoughtowarrantfurtherinterdisciplinaryresearchinto the potentialredistributive
implicationsofultraeasymonetarypolicy.
D. ... and
crises”–Paperpreparedforaconferenceon“DebitandCredit
GrowthandCrises”hostedby the World
Bank and the Bank ofSpain,Madrid18‐19June
KaminskaI(2012) The terminaldiseaseaffectingbanking”– Ft.com/alphaville–18July
Keynes J M.(1936) The General Theoryof ... Development Made the World Riskier?” – Presentation at the
Symposium The Greensp a n Era: Lessons for the Future”, sponsored
by the Federal Reserve Bank of
KansasCity,JacksonHole,Wyoming,August
...