Ngày tải lên :
21/06/2014, 14:20
... $CH5 09-06- 02 14:59:39 PS
147 Risk Management
Table 5 -2. Possible combinations of rolling two dice.
1,1 1 ,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6
2, 1 2, 2 2, 3 2, 4 2, 5 2, 6
3,1 3 ,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6
4,1 4 ,2 4,3 4,4 ... Value
Project cost 2, 000,000 2, 000,000
Project revenue 2, 200,000 2, 200,000
Fail acceptance test מ100,000 10% מ10,000
Warranty failures מ40,000 15% מ6,000
Additional orders 75,000 30% 22 ,500 ... shatter
$24 2,600
$25 0,000 – $5,000 = $24 5,000
99% Does not shatter
$21 3,080
Don't
cut
$100,000 – $5,000 = $95,000
$10,000
20 % Shatters
Don't buy inspection
$20 2,000
Cut
$20 2,000...