Poverty Impact Analysis: Approaches and Methods - Chapter 7 pot

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Poverty Impact Analysis: Approaches and Methods - Chapter 7 pot

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PART TWO Applications of the CGE Modeling Framework for Poverty Impact Analysis [...]... -4 .402 3.020 -1 .458 Restaurants -9 . 375 6.468 -1 .449 Personal Services -3 .400 2 .73 5 -1 .243 Real Estate -7 .629 6 .78 0 -1 .125 Chemicals 6.823 -6 .584 -1 .036 -2 .203 2. 170 -1 .015 Construction Paper and Metals -9 .313 9.361 -0 .995 Public Services -2 .6 07 2. 672 -0 . 976 Trades -2 6. 870 29.631 -0 .9 07 Land Transport -2 .192 2.664 -0 .823 Banking and Insurance -1 .105 1.4 07 -0 .78 5 Hotels -0 .76 1 1.199 -0 .635 Textiles -6 .686... 161. 07 125 .76 313.18 1 47. 04 79 9.43 376 9.46 42.92 -7 71 .36 1164.09 277 .75 1363.63 6208.18 319.89 359.40 250.83 Revenue (billion Rp) 1993 2.68 2 .79 1.92 1.16 4.66 0.83 0 .74 1.66 4.26 4.34 6.91 0.52 -1 .25 3.53 1. 37 1.68 9 .78 0.90 0.88 0 .70 Tax Rate (%) 1.33 0.64 0.64 1 .77 0.28 0.46 0.44 0.53 1.44 1.99 0.39 2.32 1.50 0.02 0 .71 4.12 0 .74 0.28 0.03 0.23 -0 .06 0.11 -0 . 17 -0 .02 -0 .10 0.02 0.00 0.00 -1 .21 0.09 -0 .05... 1985 1.09 0.29 -0 .08 -0 .48 1.54 -7 .42 -6 .56 -6 .55 -0 .68 -1 .26 0.93 1985–1990 2.35 0.88 0.02 7. 21 0. 17 -3 .06 19.41 9.99 1.45 10.13 1.32 1990–1993 3.44 1.16 -0 .06 6 .73 1 .71 -1 0. 47 12.85 3.43 0 .77 8. 87 2.25 1985–1993 Change in Tariff Rate (%) Poverty Impact Analysis: Tools and Applications Chapter 7 2 17 Applications of the CGE Modeling Framework for Poverty Impact Analysis 218 Computable General Equilibrium... 2614.2 87. 4 4901.9 34 970 .9 18 873 .1 70 400.6 (%) 2.02 0.64 3.43 3 .71 0.12 6.96 49. 67 26.81 100.00 Imports Tariff Revenue Value (billion Rp) (%) 55. 47 0. 87 47. 51 0 .74 38. 47 0.60 310. 47 4.86 20.06 0.31 278 .18 4.35 3359.83 52.56 2242.40 35.08 6392.10 100.00 Imports Indirect Taxation Tax Revenue Value (billion Rp) (%) 250.80 1. 57 359.40 2.25 319.89 2.00 6208.18 38.89 1363.63 8.54 277 .75 1 .74 1164.09 7. 29 -7 71 .36... 28 67. 21 18 873 .12 34 970 .91 4901.88 87. 37 2614.25 2414.61 449.85 1425.18 Imports (billion Rp) 6392.10 39.00 0 .71 2242.40 3359.83 278 .18 20.06 310. 47 38. 47 47. 51 55. 47 Revenue (billion Rp) 1993 6.86 9.08 2. 17 0.02 11.88 9.61 5. 67 22.96 11.88 1.59 10.56 3.89 Tariff Rate (%) Table 7. 6 Structure and Level of Import Tariffs in Indonesia in 1985, 1990, and 1993 1985 1.09 0.29 -0 .08 -0 .48 1.54 -7 .42 -6 .56 -6 .55... 28.1 76 0.63 27. 3 3064.94 25.0 6392.1 28.6 278 9.85 100.0 12269.44 100.0 22355 .75 100.0 Rp = rupiah Sources: Calculated from the Indonesian SAMs for 1985, 1990, and 1993 105 47. 63 5030.62 Public Services Personal Services 2029.22 67. 48 44.58 1 47. 71 17. 48 11.65 67. 12 34.82 135.92 877 .31 0 .71 -6 82.93 130.84 273 .03 32.16 677 .36 20.94 75 .05 97. 99 Revenue (billion Rp) 1985 2.08 1.23 1.34 0.42 3.06 0.56 0. 37. .. 7. 29 -7 71 .36 -4 .83 42.92 0. 27 376 9.46 23.61 79 9.43 5.01 1 47. 04 0.92 313.18 1.96 125 .76 0 .79 161. 07 1.01 802.90 5.03 304.26 1.91 325.22 2.04 15963 .70 100.00 Welfare Costs Value (billion Rp) (%) 13.93 0.28 40.12 0.80 30. 97 0.61 365.03 7. 24 2 .70 0.05 280.93 5.58 2408.84 47. 81 1 870 .88 37. 13 5038.63 100.00 Welfare Costs Value (billion Rp) (%) 485.8 2.41 499.6 2.48 145.9 0 .72 104 27. 7 51 .75 74 1.3 3.68 282.2... 96.69 74 .13 180.55 91.42 521 .78 2505.63 19.42 -4 84.28 73 6.22 191.44 78 1. 87 2964.19 244.44 200.11 201.23 Revenue (billion Rp) 1990 2.62 2.56 1.98 1.06 4.82 0.85 0.83 1.64 4.26 4.34 8.12 0.43 -1 .20 3.51 1. 37 1.66 8.40 0.86 0.82 0 .71 Tax Rate (%) 571 614.50 16939.40 26128.04 172 39 .76 19394.18 170 47. 07 18835.54 3452.16 18428.32 54 570 .79 8252. 97 61641.10 32990. 27 20336.52 80964.10 63452.83 35429.98 40866. 67. .. GDP Doha-Partial -0 .03 0.15 3.41 Employment -0 .10 0.24 5 .75 Real exports 0.10 -0 .05 -1 .03 Real imports 0.23 0.43 10.54 Trade balance -1 .39 -5 .52 -1 33.19 Domestic absorption -0 .01 0.24 5 .79 Household income -0 .12 0.33 9.55 Household real consumption -0 .02 0.51 10 .77 Agriculture household income -0 .21 0.45 9.94 Rural household income -0 .10 0.30 9.11 Urban household income -0 .05 0.25 9.52 Doha-Partial... 0.06 0.00 1990–1993 1.56 0.58 0 .74 1.60 0. 27 0.36 0. 47 0.53 1.44 0 .78 0.48 2. 27 1.52 0.01 0 .74 5.51 0 .78 0.34 0.03 1985–1993 Change in Tax Rate (%) 1985–1990 Table 7. 5 Structure and Level of Indirect Commodity Taxation in Indonesia in 1985, 1990, and 1993 Poverty Impact Analysis: Tools and Applications Chapter 7 215 Applications of the CGE Modeling Framework for Poverty Impact Analysis 216 Computable . 0. 57 16.15 2599.68 226.98 8 .73 4901.88 278 .18 5. 67 -7 .42 -3 .06 -1 0. 47 Paper and Metals 6393.00 505.20 7. 90 23330.13 2202.88 9.44 34 970 .91 3359.83 9.61 1.54 0. 17 1 .71 Chemicals 379 7.24 195 .73 . 0.83 170 47. 07 125 .76 0 .74 0.46 -0 .10 0.36 Banking and Insurance 3102.45 17. 48 0.56 11420.34 96.69 0.85 19394.18 161. 07 0.83 0.28 -0 .02 0. 27 Real Estate 4831.42 1 47. 71 3.06 9 476 .41 4 57. 16 4.82 172 39 .76 . Metals 32,990.3 5 .77 1164.09 7. 29 1018.8 5.06 3.09 0.18 87. 52 6.38 Chemicals 61,641.1 10 .78 -7 71.36 -4 .83 -6 20.2 -3 .08 -1 .01 -0 .11 80.41 -3 .89 Utilities 8,253.0 1.44 42.92 0. 27 45 .7 0.23 0.55 0.01

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