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DamagingEarthquakesDatabase
2011–TheYearinReview
JamesDaniell&ArmandVervaeck
Author’sNote
ii
Author’sNotes
WehopethatyouenjoytheCATDATYearlyReviewofDamagingEarthquakesin2011.TheCATDAT
Databasehasbeenbuilt upbycollectingearthquake, floodandothernaturaldisasterloss datafor
quiteafewyearssince2003attheUniversityofAdelaide,withamoreconcertedeffortinthe
past3
to4yearstobuildupthedatabasesfurther.Thisreportin2011onlyshowsasmallpercentageofthe
datacollectedbutanewandexcitingfutureinearthquakereporting.Inthelast12months,wehave
reported constantly on www.earthquake‐report.com
, founded by Armand Vervaeck, and worked
tirelessly to provide the best quality scientific reporting of felt earthquake and volcanic events
worldwideandCATDATtoprovidedetailedaccountsoneverydamagingearthquakeworldwide.
Thepurposeofthisreportistopresent thedamagingearthquakesintheyear2011aroundtheworld
thatwereenteredintotheCATDATDamagingEarthquakeDatabaseintermsoftheirsocio‐economic
effects. This 2011 report showcases the work that CATDAT, in collaboration with earthquake‐
report.com/SOSEarthquakes,isdoing.
Abigthan kstoMarenforsupportingmethroughthesporadiclatenights(whenearthquakeshave
occurred), as
well as with SMS updates, translations, constant earthquake discussions and
intellectualconversations.Iwouldalsoliketothankmyparents,AnneandTrevor,andalsomysister,
Katherine,andbrother‐in‐law,Quentin,forthenumerousreportsandpapersIhavesentthemand
theyhavecheckedandforthenumerous
updatesastonaturaldisasterdata.
A big thank you goes to the General Sir John Monash Foundation (supported by the Australian
Government)thathasbeenfundingmyPhDresearchatKarlsruheatKIT/CEDIMandallowedmeto
choose this location from all worldwide institutions (and in particular I would
like to thank Peter
Binks). I would like to also thank the University of Adelaide, Université Joseph Fourier Grenoble,
UniversityofPaviaandKarlsruheInstituteofTechnologyformyeducationandfortheirpromotionof
learninganddevelopmentoutsidethecourseenvironment.
Thankyou alsotothe Centerof DisasterManagement
and Risk Reduction Technology (CEDIM)for
supporting me in my research in the natural disaster field. In addition, I would like to thank
FriedemannWenzel,BijanKhazaiandTinaKunz‐Plappfortheirinterest,supportandmotivatingme
topublishmywork.Ihavealsobeenaidedbyanumber
ofinterestedindividualsforcomponentsof
theda tabasebutwith theamountofdataaroundonhistoricaldamagingearthquakes,Iamalways
interestedinnewreports,studies,questions,comments,improvementsandcollaboration.
Iwould alsolike to urge people’s involvementwithsome greatworldwide
earthquake and natural disaster risk related initiatives
out there – just to
mention a few; Willis Research Network (WRN), EERI, USGS‐PAGER, GEM,
EMSC‐CSEM,GEO‐CANandWAPMERR.
Manythanks,
JamesDaniell
Thedatacontainedinthisreportisuptodateasof7January2012.Theauthortakesnoresponsibility
forerrorsthatmaybeinthedataan dalsomisuseofthedataprovided.TheEQLIPSEBuildingInventoryDatabase,CATDATNaturalDisaster
andSocioeconomicDatabases,OPAL Project,associateddataand
publicationsremain theintellectualproperty ofJames Daniellandare
nottobereproducedinanyformwithoutpermission.
Author’sNote
iii
SOS Earthquakes and Earthquake‐report.com were developed to report about earthquakes and
volcanoes in the best possible way and to create value‐added information with a scientific and
earthquakelossestimationperspective.
Earthquake Report bridges the gap in‐between science and basic understanding.
News in thesite not only appears very
quickly, but we will always try to bring “Added Value” and
“Scientific/SocialInsight” newsthatyouwillnotfindanywhereelse,aswellasdatafromCATDAT.
Earthquake Report focusses on the Impact of Earthquakes and Volcanoes on society. We will
search, analyse and create in‐depth socio‐economic reports
for unique news, even in the most
remoteplacesonEarth.VictimsofanearthquakeinthejungleofPapua NewGuineameritthesame
attentionasthosepeoplelivinginSanFrancisco,Tokyo,Port‐au‐PrinceorConcepción.
Earthquake‐Report.com is the information part ofSOS Earthquakes, anon
‐profit
organizationspecializi ng inearthquakes,with5importantgoals:
‐bringingthebestpossible,highestqualityearthquakeinformationincludingCATDATdata
‐providingfreeorcheaptechnologytoolsformassmedia(QuakeSOSiPhoneapplication)
‐providingQuickandStructuralaidtoearthquakevictimsallovertheworld(stilltobeorganized)
‐
givingrationalunbiasedgeophysical,seismological,engineeringandscientificearthquakedetails.
‐workingonearthquakepreparednessandprevention.
EarthquakeReportalsosupportsQuakeSOS,theearthquakeemergencyiPhoneApplication.
SOS Earthquakes was founded in August 2010. SOS Earthquakes andEarthquake‐Report.comare
privateinitiativesto makethe worldjusta littlebit better.
Everysingledonated dollarasalifeline
that strengthens our initiative and is needed for server space, programming and increased data
gatheringcapability.
WewelcomealsothesupportofSTRATEGICPARTNERSwhowillenableustoreachasmanypeople
as possible. Strategic partners can be individuals or companieswho
want to make the world less
traumatic, just like we do, or people or companies who require the latest damage, casualty, aid,
economicandsocialdatafromearthquakes.
Inthisrespectearthquake‐report.comandCATDATtogetherprovidethelatestandbestup‐to‐date
informationpost‐earthquakewitharapidly
growingnumberofsubscribersanddatainputsources.
PleasecontactmeorJamestomakeadonationortobecomeastrategicpartner.Withoutmonetary
support,thisserviceunfortunatelycannotcontinue.
Postaladdress:Cederstraat21,2800Mechelen,Belgium,Phone:+32478299395Fax:+3215414670
In addition,I would like to
thankmy wife, Gerda, for her loving support
through my 24‐hour a day reporting and work with earthquake‐
report.com, and also to my family and friends as well as the millionsof
earthquake‐report.com readers and subscribers. Thankyou and I hope
thatwecancontinuetheservicein2012.
Manythanks,
ArmandVervaeck
TableofContents
iv
TABLEOFCONTENTS
Page
Author’sNotes ii
TABLEOFCONTENTS iv
LISTOFFIGURES iv
LISTOFTABLES v
1 Introduction 1
2 WhatisCATDAT? 2
2.1 Whatiscontainedinthedatabase? 2
2.2 Entrycriteria 4
3 DamagingEarthquakesfrom2011intheCATDATDamagingEQDatabase 5
3.1 WherehavetheCATDATdamagingearthquakesoccurred? 5
3.2 Casualty‐bearing2011earthquakes 7
3.3 2011earthquakeswithover100peoplehomelessorrequiringshelter 11
3.4 EconomicLossesfromearthquakesin2011over$5millionUS 15
3.5 InsuredLossesfromearthquakesin2011sofar. 19
3.6 AquickcomparisonoftheNewZealandandTohokuEarthquakesinNumbers 21
4 Aquickcomparisonofthe2011LossestotheCATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase
since1900 22
5 Conclusion 25
6 MainReferences 27
AppendixA:Summarypagesofeach2011damagingearthquake 31
ListofFigures
iv
LISTOFFIGURES
Page
Figure1‐TheprocessusedtocreatetheCATDATDamaging EarthquakesDatabase(Daniell,2011)
2
Figure2–TheCATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabaseparameters(Daniell,2003‐2011a) 4
Figure3–Thelocationofthe133+CATDATdamagingearthquakesinvariouscountriesduring
2011 5
Figure4–Thenumberofearthquakespercountryinthe133+CATDATdamagingearthquakesin
variouscountriesduring2011 6
Figure5–Thefatalearthquakesin2011intheCATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase. 7
Figure6–Thecasualtybearingearthquakesin2011intheCATDATDamagingEarthquakes
Database. 8
Figure7–Thenumberofbuildingsdamagedordestroyedineach2011CATDATdamaging
earthquake 11
Figure8–Therelativebuildingdamageindexineach2011CATDATdamagingearthquake 12
Figure9–Thenumberofhomelesspeopleineach2011CATDATdamagingearthquake 12
Figure10–Thedirecteconomiclossesineach2011CATDATdamagingearthquake 16
Figure11–Theinsuredeconomiclossesineach2011CATDATdamagingearthquake 19
Figure12–YearlyDirectEconomicLossesfromCATDATDa maging Earthquakesshowing2011as
thehighestlossyearofthepast111years 22
Figure13–YearlyTotalEconomicLossesfromCATDATDamagingEarthquakesshowing2011as
thehighestlossyearofthepast111years 23
Figure14–YearlyEarthquakeandSecondaryEffectdeathsinCATDATfordevelopingand
developednationsthroughtime–2011showsthelargestdeathtollfromadevelopednation
(HDI(2011)>0.8) 23
Figure15–MajoreventlossesintheCATDATdamagingearthquakesdatabasefrom1900‐2011
(Daniell,2003‐2011a) 24
Figure16–Cumulativedeathsandeconomiclossesrelatedtoglobal2011‐dollarGDP(PPP)and
population. 24
ListofTables
v
LISTOFTABLES
Page
Table1–Listofcasualty‐bearingearthquakesin2011 8
Table2–Listofhomeless‐bearingearthquakesin2011 13
Table3–Finallossestimatesforthe2011TohokuEQdisaggregatedfortsunami,powerplantand
earthquakeusingJapaneseandCATDATdataasof18
th
October 15
Table4–Listofeconomiclossesinearthquakesin2011withover$5millionUSDorothernotable
losses(excludingnucleardisasters) 17
Table5–Listofinsuredlossesinearthquakesin2011sofarover$1m 19
Table6–Listofhighestinsuredlosses(1900‐2011)in2011CountryCPIadjusted$international.20
Table7–AcomparisonoftheChristchurchandTohokuearthquakesintermsofnumbers 21
CATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase–2011–TheYearinReview
1
1 Introduction
2011has played host tothe largest twoearthquakes, economically speaking, in the history of the
countriesofJapanandNewZealand.TheM9.0Tohokuearthquakeandtsunamiof11
th
March,2011
provedto be themostexpensive earthquakeofalltime, causingbetween $400‐700billionUSDin
totallossesandapproximately19000deaths,whiletheChristchurchearthquake(aM6.3quakeclose
tothecityofChristchurch)causedahugebuildingstocklossandapproximately$15‐20billionUSD
damage with around 80% insured losses. Their respective aftershocks caused further damage.
SignificantlosseswerealsoseeninTurkeyfromtheVanearthquakeinOctober,intheIndia‐Nepal‐
Tibet region in September, in China from numerous earthquakes in the Yunnan and Xinjiang
ProvincesandintheUSAfromtheVirginia
earthquake.
Inaddition,inthefirsthalfof2011,thenewscameoutthatthedeathtollinHaitiwasoverestimated
significantly.AreportfromaUS‐basedconsultancygroup,LTLStrategies,aspartofaUSAIDreport,
showedthatthedeathtollwasbetween46190and84961.Daniellet
al.(2010f,2011j)usingvarious
approaches concluded that a death toll of 136933
, with a range of 121843 to 167082 dead, was
reasonable. Both of these totals are a massive reduction on the 316000 deaths quoted by the
Presidenton12
th
January,2011.
2011DamagingEarthquakesinNumbers
NumberofCATDATDamagingEarthquakes: 133+.
NumberofCasualty‐bearingEarthquakes: 61+withatleast25fatal.
CountrywiththemostCATDATDamagingEarthquakes: Japan,27;China,20;Turkey,18.
TotalFatalities:Between20086and20475.
TotalShakingFatalities:±1336.
TotalInjuries:±14629.
TotalHomeless:±1.108million.
TotalEconomicLosses:$503.39billion‐$749.51billionUS
(Median=$623.50billionUS)
TotalEconomicLosses(excludingFukushimaNuclear): $394.39billion‐$587.51billionUS
(Median=$488.00billionUS)
TotalEconomicLosses(excludingTohoku): $24.39billion‐$39.51billionUS
(Median=$29.00billionUS)
TotalInsuredLosses:$43.26billion‐$67.48billionUS
(Median=$52.80billionUS)
Pleasenotethatforthepurposesofthisreportduetodifferentmeaningsofbillionandmillionworldwide:
1billion=1,000,000,000or10
9
1million=1,000,000or10
6
Finallossestimatesforthe2011TohokuEQdisaggregatedfortsunami,powerplantandearthquake‐JapaneseandCATDATdata
InBillionUSD Earthquake Tsunami Powerplant
DirectLossInland 77 0
DirectLossCoastal 48‐81 112‐145
58‐71
TotalDirectLoss 125‐158(42%) 112‐145(39%) 58‐71(19%)
IndirectLoss 69‐132 64‐113 51‐91
TotalEconomicLoss 194‐290(41%) 176‐258(36%) 109‐162(23%)
CATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase–2011–TheYearinReview
2
2 WhatisCATDAT?
CATDAToriginatedasaseries ofdatabasesthathasbeencollectedbytheauthorfrommanysources
over the years(2003 onwards). Itincludes global data onfloods, volcanoes and earthquakes (and
associatedeffects).Thisreportwillfocusonthedamagingearthquakes in2011,anda comparisonas
providedbythe
DamagingEarthquakesDatabasepartofCATDAT.Thisdatabasehas beenpresented
attheAustralianEarthquake EngineeringSocietyConferencein2010inPerth,Australia, intheform
of3papers,andthedatawasalsousedtoformanAsia‐Pacificcomparisonoffloodandearthquak e
socio‐economic loss in the
CECAR5 conference in Sydney, Australia, 2010. The details of the
database can be found by typing “CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database” into Google and
searchingfortheDanielletal.(2011)paperinthejournal,NHESS.
As of January 2012 in CATDAT v5.0328, over 19000 sources of information have been utilised to
presentdatafromover 12300historical damaging earthquakes,with over7000 earthquakes since
1900examinedandvalidatedbeforeinsertionintotheCATDATdamagingearthquakesdatabase.
Figure1‐TheprocessusedtocreatetheCATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase(Daniell,2011)
2.1 Whatiscontainedinthedatabase?
Eachvalidatedearthquakeincludesthefollowingparametersfilledintothebestavailabledetail:‐
• Date(Day,Month,Year,Time(LocalandUTC)).
• SeismologicalInformation(EQHypocentreLatitude;Longitude;Depth(km);Intensity(MMI);
Magnitude;Magnitudetype)
• ISO3166‐2Countrycode,includingKosovoandSouthSudan;ISOCountryName.
•
Human Development Index of country; HDI Classification; Economic Classification; Social
Classification;UrbanityIndex;Populationattimeofevent;NominalGDPattimeofevent–
splitintodevelopedordevelopingcountries.
CATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase–2011–TheYearinReview
3
• CATDATPreferred(BestEstimate)Deaths;Secondar y EffectDeaths;GroundShakingDeaths;
CATDAT Upper and Lower Bound Death Estimates; Global Literature Source Upper and
Lower Bound Death Estimates; Severe Injuries; Slight Injuries; CATDAT Upper and Lower
Bound Injury Estimates; Glo bal Source Upper and Lower (U/L) Bound Injury Estimates;
Homeless(andU/L
Bound);Affected(andU/LBound);Missing.
• Buildings destroyed; Buildings damaged;Buildings damaged – L4, L3, L2, L1;Infrastructure
Damaged;CriticalandLargeLossFacilities;Lifelinesdamaged.
• Secondary effects that occurred (Tsunami,Seiche, Landslide (mud, snow, rock, soil, quake
lake),Fire,Liquefaction,Flooding,FaultRupture);%ofthesocial
lossesthatwerecausedby
each secondary effect; % of economic losses that were caused by each secondary effect;
TsunamiDeaths;LandslideDeaths;FireDeaths;LiquefactionDeaths.
• Diseaseandadditionallong‐termproblems.
• Full word description of various sources contributing to the data, including associated
references.
• Sectoraland
indirectanalysisofeconomiclosses.
• Country‐based CPI at time of disaster; Country‐based Wage Index at time of disaster;
Country‐based GDP Index; USA CPI for comparison; Hybrid Natural Disaster Economic
ConversionIndex.
• CATDAT Preferred (Best Estimate) Total Economic Loss; CATDAT U/L Bound of Economic
Loss;Global
SourceU/LBoundofEconomicLoss;AdditionalEconomicLossestimatesfrom
varying sources; CATDAT Economic Loss 2011 HNDECI‐Adjusted; CATDAT Economic Loss
2011‐countrybasedCPIadjusted.
• Insured Loss; Insured Loss In 2011 dollars; Insured estimate source; Estimated Insurance
Takeout(orapprox.takeout)attimeofevent.
• Indirectand
Intangibleeconomiclosses.
• Estimatedlif ecostgivensocialvalues,workingwagesetc.atthetime.
• TotalEconomicLossasapercentageofcountry’sGDP;Sociallossestrendedbypopulation.
• CATDATEarthquakesrankedviatheMunichNatCatServicemethodology.
• CATDATEarthquakesrankedfortheCATDATEconomicDisaster
RankingandCATDATSocial
DisasterRankingbasedonrelativevaluesandnotabsolutevalues.
• LinktoReliefWebarchivewhereavailable.
• Aidcontribution;Aiddelivered;AidSource.
• Split country impacts (social and economic) where earthquake has affected more than 1
country.
• Variousratiosbetweencomponentsfortrendsanalysis.
• Normalisationstrategiesforcurrentconditions.(Danielletal.,2010g)
• Linkstotheauthor’sglobalrapidlossestimationmodel(partofhisPhD).
CATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabase–2011–TheYearinReview
4
Figure2–TheCATDATDamagingEarthquakesDatabaseparameters(Daniell,2003‐2011a)
ThisiscontainedinaMicrosoftExcelframeworkwithexternallinkstootherresources.Itisalsoin
SQLformat.
2.2 Entrycriteria
Adamagingearthquakeis enteredintotheCATDATdatabasebythefollowingcriteriainv.5.03:‐
• Anyearthquakecausingcollapseofstructuralcomponents.
• Anyearthquakecausingdeath,injuryorhomelessness.
• Anyearthquake causingdamageorflow‐oneffectsexceeding100,000internationaldollars,
HybridNaturalDisasterEconomicConversionIndex
adjustedto2011.
• Any earthquake causing disruption to a reasonable economic or social impact as deemed
appropriate.
• A requirement of validation of the earthquake existence via 2 or more macroseismic
recordings and/or seismological information recorded by stations and at least 1 of the 4
definitionsabove.
• Validation
viaexternalsourcesifCorruptionIndex<2.7,subjecttoPolityranking.
[...]... Christchurch and as aftershocks of the 21st February earthquake). 5 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Figure 4 – The number of earthquakes per country in the 133+ CATDAT damaging earthquakes in various countries during 2011 6 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review 3.2 Casualty‐bearing 2011 earthquakes There have been at least 25 fatal earthquakes in 2011. These are shown on the following diagram. ... 19.08.2011 Oklahoma US 06.11.2011 9 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Gifu Prefecture Yangjiang 1 Yangjiang 3 Akita Ibaraki JP CN CN JP JP 14.12.2011 01.01.2011 01.02.2011 01.04.2011 20.11.2011 0 0 0 0 0 (0‐0) (0‐0) (0‐0) (0‐0) (0‐0) 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 10 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review 3.3 2011 earthquakes with over 100 people homeless or requiring shelter ... causes such as fire, landslides etc. About 94% of deaths were tsunami related. In addition, at least 36 other injury‐bearing earthquakes have occurred in the world, making a total of 61 known casualty‐bearing earthquakes for 2011. 7 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Figure 6 – The casualty bearing earthquakes in 2011 in the CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database. The Van earthquakes in Turkey in October and November ... Aftershock Simav Kutahya TR 19.05.2011 3 (2‐HA) SW Pakistan PK 18.01.2011 3 (2‐HA) Singkil ID 05.09.2011 3 (2‐HA) Guerrero MX 11.12.2011 2 Tohoku, Sendai, Great Eastern 8 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Kahnuj IR 15.06.2011 2 (2‐2) 0 Sendai Aftershock JP 11.03.2011 1 (1‐1) 0 Miyagi Aftershock JP 11.03.2011 1 (1‐1) 0 1 (1‐L) 1 (1‐1) (1‐1) 16 ...CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review 3 Damaging Earthquakes from 2011 in the CATDAT Damaging EQ Database 3.1 Where have the CATDAT damaging earthquakes occurred? There have been at least 133 damaging earthquakes in 2011. These have occurred in the following ... Also shown is the relative extent of building damage including destroyed buildings, as a ratio of 0.85 and damaged buildings with 0.15. This shows the Van, Sikkim, Christchurch and Japan earthquakes as having the greatest extent of damage this year. 11 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Figure 8 – The relative building damage index in each 2011 CATDAT damaging earthquake The Japan earthquake caused the most homeless in 2011 with ... tolls were seen in some Chinese earthquakes.The number of homeless in each damaging earthquake are summarised in the following diagram. Figure 9 – The number of homeless people in each 2011 CATDAT damaging earthquake 12 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Although the overall damage was much reduced by good earthquake building practice in NZ, due to the red tag level as the result of liquefaction and higher post‐earthquake standards in New Zealand ... Complex: Refer to CATDAT CN CN PH CN JP 20.06.2011 08.06.2011 07.11.2011 10.09.2011 11.04.2011 200 168+ 150 120 many 22000 16174 1014 5800 Complex: Refer to CATDAT 13 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Eastern Honshu Aftershock Sendai Aftershock Elazig Oklahoma Yangjiang 2 Guatemala Costa Rica Huehuetenango JP JP TR US CN GT CR GT 12.04.2011 ... some some 100 inc 01/01 70 50 15 Complex: Refer to CATDAT 700000 Complex: Refer to CATDAT Complex: Refer to CATDAT inc 01/01 2500 Complex: Refer to CATDAT 125 14 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review 3.4 Economic Losses from earthquakes in 2011 over $5 million US Economic losses from earthquakes in 2011 have been dominated by the Tohoku earthquake, ... However, a more reliable estimate is approximately $1.7 billion US damage for total damage in India. In addition about $200 million US damage was caused in Tibet (China), and slightly higher in eastern 15 CATDAT Damaging Earthquakes Database 2011 – The Year in Review Nepal. As well, losses in Bhutan occurred with around 6000 buildings damaged. In total, an estimated $2.25 billion US damage occurred. Although not causing a high absolute value of damage, the Van earthquake in Turkey caused a large
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