UNCERTAINTY IN MESOSCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF PRECIPITATION

... Sabrina Wahl U NCERTAINTY IN MESOSCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION : PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING OF PRECIPITATION Uncertainty in mesoscale numerical weather prediction: probabilistic forecasting of ... List of Figures 95 List of Tables 97 Bibliography 99 Contents Introduction Since the beginning of numerical weather prediction (NWP), quantification of forecast uncertainty is a major desire Uncertainty ... forecasting arose already at the very beginning of numerical weather prediction by Eady (1949) and Thompson (1957) Due to the uncertain character of initial conditions, the ”answer” in terms of numerical...

Báo cáo " NEXT-GENERATION NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION Bridging Parameterization, Explicit Clouds, and Large Eddies " docx

... deep-cloud downdrafts and subsidence around clouds, and, conversely, the impact of the boundary layer on resolved deep convection and moist processes in general These also include how to handle fractional ... (HARMONIE; Europe), nonhydrostatic model (NHM; Japan), and experimental severe storm and hurricane forecasts with the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) at the National Center for Atmospheric ... NWP centers are considering aerosols initially for visibility and dust prediction, and it was recommended that aerosol radiative and microphysical effects, as well as air quality applications,...

the role of uncertainty in transaction cost and resource-based theories of the firm

... field of strategic management has used the concepts of uncertainty from these disciplines and applied them to the issues of the firm, including the existence and the boundary of the firm Transaction ... limited role in those topics Therefore, search for a type of uncertainty in resource-based theory also allows us to compare the role of uncertainty in the two alternative theories of the firm There ... comparison on the reasons of the existence of the firm leads to the second comparison on how uncertainty works in the two theories of the firm In transactio n cost economics, uncertainty exists in the...

Long-term trends in water quality in an under-populated watershed and influence of precipitation

... monitoring and analyzing this relationship are necessary CONCLUSIONS In this study, long-term trends in water quality in an under-populated watershed were analyzed and the relationships between water ... a watershed with delayed thinning and a reference watershed (Takeda and Kageyama, 2001; Takeda, 2002) Specifically, runoff loads of T–N, T–P, COD, and SS in the watershed with delayed thinning ... poorly managed forests and agricultural lands have adversely affected the water quality in the following way In forests (covering approximately two-thirds of the land in Japan), delayed thinning of...

Probabilistic approaches to modeling uncertainty in biological pathway dynamics

... PROBABILISTIC APPROACHES TO MODELING UNCERTAINTY IN BIOLOGICAL PATHWAY DYNAMICS BENJAMIN MATE GYORI (B.Sc.) A THESIS SUBMITTED FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY NUS GRADUATE SCHOOL FOR INTEGRATIVE ... sparked interest in quantitative modeling approaches in biology In this chapter we brieﬂy review the biological foundations of pathways and the relevant concepts behind modeling them 2.1 2.1.1 Biological ... uncertainty in biological pathway models 1.2 1.2.1 Research contributions Eﬃcient Bayesian inference of pathway parameters Dynamical pathway models contain a number of parameters including kinetic...

Uncertainty in the electric power industry

... within the integrated model Table 4-5 Definition of regions in the fundamental model within the integrated model Table 4-6 Definition of power plant types in the fundamental model within the integrated ... DEREGULATION AND MARKETS IN THE ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY Status of deregulation Power and related markets in continental Europe Chapter DECISION MAKING AND UNCERTAINTIES IN THE ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY 2.1 2.2 ... electricity industry 13 Figure 3-1 Uncertainties and key decisions in competitive electricity markets The key uncertain factors will be scrutinized in the following section UNCERTAINTIES IN THE ELECTRICITY...

Tài liệu Báo cáo khoa học: "TREATMENT OF LONG DISTANCE DEPENDENCIES IN LFG AND TAG: FUNCTIONAL UNCERTAINTY IN LFG IS A COROLLARY IN TAG" ppt

... O FORMALISMS We have compared LFG and TAG analyses of long distance dependencies, and have shown that what functional uncertainty does for LFG comes out as a corollary in TAG, without going beyond ... where sy is a string in a, or f = v and e E a The functional uncertainty approach may be characterized as a localization of the long distance dependencies; a localization at the level of fstructures ... by introducing graph adjoining grammars which generate exactly the same languages as TAGs In a graph adjoining grammar, /~x is represented as shown in Figure Notice that in this representation...

Tài liệu Báo cáo khoa học: "Managing Uncertainty in Semantic Tagging" pptx

... Manual semantic tagging is in many respects similar to morphological tagging and syntactic analysis: human annotators are trained to sort certain elements occurring in a running text ac- cording ... of fact that interannotator confusion is inevitable in semantic tagging However, the amount of uncertainty of the 843 No Pattern / Implicature [[Human | Institution 1] ˆ [Human | Institution = ... system for developing ontological and lexical resources in harmony In 9th International Conference on Intelligent Text Processing and Computational Linguistics, pages 1–15 Berlin: Springer Eduard...

The Treatment of Uncertainty in EPA’s Analysis of Air Pollution Rules: A Status Report pot

... The Treatment of Uncertainty in EPA’s Analysis of Air Pollution Rules: A Status Report Arthur G Fraas Abstract An understanding of the uncertainty in benefit and cost estimates is a critical ... analyses—as well as the other quantitative analyses developed in the RIA in assessing the uncertainty in the health benefits estimates Qualitative Discussion of Other Areas of Uncertainty EPA ... specific areas of uncertainty in the analysis of health benefits that deserve to be evaluated in a quantitative uncertainty analysis The NRC identifies The NRC report also noted that “Because of the...

Báo cáo khoa học: "Lexicon and grammar in probabilistic tagging of written English" doc

... obufined by the ~ contained in the existing grammar ~ (2) the Parsing ,,H~ of pmmmicm m l the parsed dmalm~ m am evolving grammar In order to cimmmvem these problems, a su~-gy of skeleum parsing ... g Grammar Ob = operator ~ of, or ending with, a form o f / ~ , Od ffi operator consisting of, or ending with, a form of ~ Oh operator ~ of, or ending with, a form of the verb hart, V ffi main ... some of the running words Disambiguafion is achieved by invoking one-step probabilities of tag pair E_~kelihoods exmtaed from a previously tagged training corpus and upgrading or downgrading likelihoods...

Báo cáo khoa học: "Speakers’ Intention Prediction Using Statistics of Multi-level Features in a Schedule Management Domain" ppt

... such as clue words, previous intentions, and a current state of a domain frame Statistical prediction of speakers’ intentions 2.1 Generalization of speakers’ intentions In a goal-oriented dialogue, ... of speakers’ intentions; a pair of a current intention and a next intention) that are extracted from a sequence of utterances in a current dialogue • Domain knowledge-level feature: In a goaloriented ... information Agreement Table Basic concepts in a schedule management domain Table name Timetable Alarm Operation name Insert, Delete, Select, Update Insert, Delete, Select, Update Field name Agent,...

Báo cáo " A numerical model for the simulation of wave dynamics in the surf zone and near coastal structures " pot

... the wave dynamics in the near shore area and in the vicinity of coastal structures. It has been found that the numerical model can satisfactorily simulate the wave transformation, ... to wave breaking on a natural beach To verify the accuracy of the numerical model on the simulation of the wave transformation on a natural beach, existing experimental data on the wave dynamics in ... develop a numerical model that can simulate the nearshore wave dynamics, including wave breaking and wave runup, the generation, transport and dissipation of TKE. 2. Governing ...

Báo cáo khoa học: "Mixture Model POMDPs for Efﬁcient Handling of Uncertainty in Dialogue Management" doc

... Table 1: Initial test results for human-machine dialogues, showing task completion and average length the TownInfo corpus of dialogues, which was collected using the TownInfo human-machine dialogue ... each attempting tasks in the TownInfo domain (searching for hotels and restaurants in a ﬁctitious town), resulting in 90 test dialogues The users each attempted tasks with the MDP system of (Lemon ... trend showing the superiority of the the MM Q-MDP system, both in terms of more tasks being completed and less variability in overall dialogue length Thanks to K Georgilla for training this model...

scenario logic and probabilistic management of risk in business and engineering

... of safety and risk in economics and engineering For many years the author worked in industry in the field of designing and testing of complex engineering systems Now he works in an academic institute, ... Solojentsev Scenario logic and probabilistic management of risk in business and engineering Pages — 391 p., Figures — 70; Tables — 40; Refers — 118 The methodological aspects of the scenario logic and probabilistic ... of the risk LP-models is described In Chapters 15–18 applications of risk LP-models in business and engineering are given In Chapter 15 examples of application of risk LP-models in business and...

Báo cáo hóa học: " Coping with disassembly yield uncertainty in remanufacturing using sensor embedded products" potx

... Coping with disassembly yield uncertainty in remanufacturing using sensor embedded products Mehmet Ali Ilgina, Surendra M Guptab and Kenichi Nakashimac a b Department of Industrial Engineering ... of disassembly including sequencing [11, 12] , scheduling [13], disassembly line [14, 15], disassembly line balancing [16, 17], disassembly- toorder systems [18] and design for disassembly [19] ... useful in the determination of the cost associated with embedding sensors in products In other words, as long as this cost is less than $28.64, embedding sensors in products is a profitable business...

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Từ khóa: tag functional uncertainty in lfg is a corollary in tag model uncertainty in the ecosystem approach to fisheries prediction and classification of cardiovascular disease risk in older adults with diabetes parameter uncertainty in kalman filter estimation of the cir term structure model hazard risk and uncertainty in disaster response on line chemistry within wrf description and evaluation of a state of the art multiscale air quality and weather prediction model a multiagent fuzzy neuro network based weather prediction system two stage and integrated approaches to uncertainty in cost effectiveness modelling the root causes of uncertainty in dating neurologic events based on imaging findings overestimation of threat and intolerance of uncertainty in obsessive compulsive disorder use of dynamical measures in prediction and control of focal and generalized epilepsy radiation doses from medical imaging and uncertainty in cancer risks inconsistency uncertainty in the medical management of pregnant women risk assessment and addressing uncertainty in pharmaceutical new drug discovery and development conflicting strategies for contested resources pastoralists responses to uncertainty in post socialist rural kyrgyzstan Nghiên cứu tổ hợp chất chỉ điểm sinh học vWF, VCAM 1, MCP 1, d dimer trong chẩn đoán và tiên lượng nhồi máu não cấp Một số giải pháp nâng cao chất lượng streaming thích ứng video trên nền giao thức HTTP Nghiên cứu tổ chức chạy tàu hàng cố định theo thời gian trên đường sắt việt nam Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 13: Thực hành phát hiện diệp lục và carôtenôit Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 13: Thực hành phát hiện diệp lục và carôtenôit Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 13: Thực hành phát hiện diệp lục và carôtenôit Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 13: Thực hành phát hiện diệp lục và carôtenôit ĐỒ ÁN NGHIÊN CỨU CÔNG NGHỆ KẾT NỐI VÔ TUYẾN CỰ LY XA, CÔNG SUẤT THẤP LPWAN ĐỒ ÁN NGHIÊN CỨU CÔNG NGHỆ KẾT NỐI VÔ TUYẾN CỰ LY XA, CÔNG SUẤT THẤP LPWAN Trả hồ sơ điều tra bổ sung đối với các tội xâm phạm sở hữu có tính chất chiếm đoạt theo pháp luật Tố tụng hình sự Việt Nam từ thực tiễn thành phố Hồ Chí Minh (Luận văn thạc sĩ)Phát hiện xâm nhập dựa trên thuật toán k means Định tội danh từ thực tiễn huyện Cần Giuộc, tỉnh Long An (Luận văn thạc sĩ)Chuong 2 nhận dạng rui ro Tổ chức và hoạt động của Phòng Tư pháp từ thực tiễn tỉnh Phú Thọ (Luận văn thạc sĩ)Quản lý nợ xấu tại Agribank chi nhánh huyện Phù Yên, tỉnh Sơn La (Luận văn thạc sĩ)BT Tieng anh 6 UNIT 2 Nguyên tắc phân hóa trách nhiệm hình sự đối với người dưới 18 tuổi phạm tội trong pháp luật hình sự Việt Nam (Luận văn thạc sĩ)Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 14: Thực hành phát hiện hô hấp ở thực vật Giáo án Sinh học 11 bài 14: Thực hành phát hiện hô hấp ở thực vật HIỆU QUẢ CỦA MÔ HÌNH XỬ LÝ BÙN HOẠT TÍNH BẰNG KIỀM