... received a lot of publicity at the time of the stock market
break of October
198 6.
Nevertheless, the market has recovered its
poise and reached new highs early in 198 7. How far can the boom
go? ... corresponds to the way that financial
markets operate. That means that the markets themselves can be
viewed as formulating hypotheses about the future and then sub...
... to find them; and, what was the most painful of all,
sometimes
I
got them wrong. One way or another,
I
often invested
,
THE
ALCHEMY
READING THE MIND
OF
THE MARKET
GEORGE SOROS
NEW ... debt. The valuation of the collateral is sup-
posed to be independent of the act of lending; but in actual fact
the act of lending can affect the value of the...
... losses in the collapse of the
conglomerates. Since they were entitled to share in the profits but
did not have to share in the losses of the funds they managed,
Reflexivity
in
the Stock Market ... stock market. The possibility that stock
market developments may affect the fortunes of the companies is
left out of account. There is a clear parallel with the...
... linked the strength of the dollar to the strength of the econ-
omy and to the interest rate differential. When the dollar refused
to weaken, the last of the trend fighters gave up and the exchange ... result, they could report substantial earnings gains, and some
of them actually increased their dividends in 198 3.
Ironically, the formation of the Collective...
... process where the direction of economic
policy and the direction of the financial markets mutually rein-
force each other.
It is the response of the financial markets that has given me the
Phase ... identify the "thesis" that the current
market rally incorporates and evaluate its chances of success; the
other is to locate the present moment within...
...
equals
the total equity of the fund.
A
short position in U.S. dollam indicates the amount by
which
the
currency exposure exceeds the equity of the fund.
(3)
Currency exposure shown
as
of ...
the total equity of
the
fund.
A
short position in
U.S.
dollars indicates the amount by which the
currency exposure exceeds the equity of the fund.
(31...
... surprised by the emergence of the Imperial Circle; then
in the course of the experiment
I
was surprised by the premature
demise of the Golden Age of Capitalism. In Phase
2
of the experi-
ment
I ... few: the steepening of the yield curve; the rise of gold; and the
disarray in the Group of Five process. The stock market also
shows signs...
...
corrected.
The
Crash
of
'87
3 49
risk at the cost of enhancing the instability of the system. In prac-
tice, the breakdown of &apos ;the system did not allow the individual to
escape unscathed. ... giving them a license to manipulate the market.
The two outstanding features of the Crash of
198 7,
then, are the
absence of a second selling cl...
... debt. The valuation of the collateral is sup-
posed to be independent of the act of lending; but in actual fact
the act of lending can affect the value of the collateral. This is true
of the ...
lems relating to the observer were resolved, whereas the problems
of the observer can be directly attributed to the indeterminacy of
the subject matter. Thus...