... of landfalls and damage of 2004 and 2005, global hurricane activity dropped toextremely low levels (Maue, 2009). Distinguishing196 Pielke ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDSbetween a true ‘hot hand’ and ... scientific commu-nity cannot produce skilful forecasts of futurelandfalls and damage for the foreseeable future.AcknowledgementsUseful comments and suggestions were receivedfrom Chris Austin, ... R. A. Jr and Landsea, C. W., 1998. Normalizedhurricane damages in the United States: 1925–95.Weather and Forecasting, American MeteorologicalSociety. 621–631.Pielke, R. A. Jr and Landsea,...